Nations League table: Why England’s group decider vs Croatia matters – the permutations explained

England’s Uefa Nations League fate rests in their own hands after Croatia grabbed a late winner against Spain on Thursday night.

As it stands, England sit second in Group 4 of League A, but will progress to the semi-finals in June if they beat Croatia on Sunday.

However, if England lose at Wembley they will finish bottom of the group and be relegated to League B for the 2020 season.

A draw in the repeat of the World Cup semi-final would see Spain progress as league winners.

Table of Uefa Nations League A, Group 4

Read more: Wayne Rooney’s creaking England cameo contrasts with youthful energy of Jadon Sancho

The semi-finals are due to take place in June 2019, where the League A group winners will square off for a place in the final, where the first Uefa Nations League winner will be crowned.

But that is getting ahead of ourselves – there is a crucial match against Croatia to win first.

Here is the lowdown on all of Sunday’s possible outcomes:

England win

  1. England
  2. Spain
  3. Croatia

England would move to seven points, leapfrogging Spain and condemning Croatia to relegation from League A.

Scoreless draw

  1. Spain
  2. England
  3. Croatia

In the event of a draw, England and Croatia’s points tallies are equal and the second and third positions are decided by head-to-head record. With the match in Rijeka a 0-0 draw also, England would go through on overall goal difference in all group matches.

Draw with goals

  1. Spain
  2. Croatia
  3. England

In the event of a draw with goals, England would be relegated on the head-to-head record, as Croatia will have scored more away goals.

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Croatia win

  1. Croatia
  2. Spain
  3. England

England will be relegated to League B on the basis of points and Croatia would rise above Spain.

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